The growing use of solar power is changing electricity systems across the globe. But solar's unreliable nature, depending on sunny weather, also creates new hurdles for keeping power grids stable and reliable. The "duck curve" has become an influential idea for understanding these changes and picturing the tricky balancing act needed.
So what's the duck curve?
The duck curve refers to the distinctive duck-like shape that daily electricity demand forms in a grid with lots of solar power. The term was created by the California Independent System Operator (CAISO) in a 2013 report. Now, duck curves with different profiles are popping up in many places with substantial solar.
The duck curve shows the mismatch between solar power generation and overall electricity need throughout the day. It charts the net load on the grid, which is total demand minus solar production at any time.
In the morning, as people start their day, turning on gadgets and devices, demand for power rises. This initial upward swing forms the duck's tail. Through midday, as the sun peaks, solar panels crank out their max. The plentiful solar leads to lower net load on the grid, making the duck's belly.
But solar production starts dropping in the late afternoon and evening as the sun sets. At the same time, people return home from work and school, boosting electricity use again. Other power plants must then ramp up quickly to meet the surging demand, forming the duck's neck and head as net load spikes while solar plummets. This rollercoaster net load shows the core challenge of the duck curve for grid management.

What's causing and worsening the duck curve?
Several key facts have contributed to more extreme duck curves in grids with lots of solar:
- More solar power added
As more solar is installed, excess generation during sunnier times increases, expanding the duck's belly. For instance, California's solar capacity rose over 20 times from 2010 to 2020. - Inflexible demand
Electricity demand has remained concentrated in the late afternoon/evening, driven by factors like AC, rather than shifting to absorb more midday solar. - Limited energy storage
Most solar power must be used right away rather than stored, worsening the mismatch between solar supply and evening demand peaks. - Low coordination
Grid operators have lacked visibility and control over distributed solar to optimize balancing.
The duck curve will likely grow more pronounced as solar keeps accelerating globally. For instance, California projects its typical midday oversupply to about double within 15 years if current trends continue. This worsening imbalance has urgent implications for power system management and reliability.
What impacts and challenges does an extreme duck curve create?
The duck curve highlights the complex coordination needed to maintain stability as variable renewable energy expands. Key impacts include:
- Overgeneration
Excess solar leads to curtailment and negative prices during the midday belly as supply overwhelms demand. From 2012 to 2020, California's annual curtailed solar jumped from 150 to 3,500 GWh, wasting clean energy. - Ramping challenges
Traditional power plants must cycle rapidly to compensate, as solar output changes drastically between day and evening. These plants often lack flexibility to handle such variability. - Peak shifts
Electricity peak demand occurs later as solar fades, typically resulting in an evening net load peak. Generation and transmission must still meet these peaks. - Grid instability
Steep evening ramps as demand surges but solar plunges threaten reliability and require careful system balancing. Frequency fluctuations and voltage issues may arise from solar's intermittent nature. - Distribution challenges
At the local level, high rooftop solar can cause voltage fluctuations, protection miscoordination, and difficulties managing two-way power flows.
What are solutions for navigating an extreme duck curve?
Luckily, there are solutions grid managers can use to smooth the duck curve and allow further solar growth:
- Energy storage
Batteries and other storage tech let solar power be shifted to evening peak times instead of curtailed. Targeted small-scale home storage is especially valuable. - Flexible demand
Time-of-use pricing, smart appliances, and demand response programs encourage consumers to align consumption with solar output. - Increased grid flexibility
Upgrading transmission lines, forecasting, flexible traditional generation, and new grid-forming inverters enhance responsiveness. - Regional coordination
Pooling resources and variability over larger areas smooths net load profiles. - Solar forecasting
Accurately predicting solar output guides operational decisions. - Grid edge controls
Devices like smart inverters give grid operators more visibility and control over distributed solar, enabling optimization. - Curtailment
As a last resort, solar output can be temporarily reduced during extreme oversupply to protect reliability.
Takeaway
The duck curve clearly shows the complexities of integrating large amounts of solar onto electric grids. But this challenge also represents an opportunity to modernize power systems and build the grid of the future.
With thoughtful planning, flexible resources, enhanced operations, and the right market conditions, renewable variability can be managed smoothly. Grid operators have many tools to flatten the duck's belly while avoiding stability risks. Wise investment in modernization and coordination will enable growing solar power and other renewable sources fundamental to the world's sustainable energy shift.
CLOU understands the challenges posed by the duck curve and the need for reliable, flexible energy storage solutions. Our advanced energy storage systems are designed to seamlessly integrate with your existing infrastructure, providing the flexibility needed to manage renewable variability and ensure grid stability.
If you have any inquiries or need further information about energy storage solutions, please do not hesitate to reach outContact Us to us. We are here to assist you and welcome your valuable thoughts and comments.
Until then, keep shining bright like a solar panel on a sunny day!